CHM
Oct 28, 2009
It will be very difficult to put any kind of reform in this kind of name/relatinship and doing business by word of mouth tradition. Western Banks should set up a due diligence process doing business.
Roger
Oct 28, 2009
Yes, indeed, banks both local and foreign will have to learn the very difficult lessons of extending credit.
As a public service, here are a few key rules of thumb:
(1) Loans are repaid by cash! If there's no cash flow, don't lend. Otherwise you are highly likely to be the only source of creditor rotation.
(2) Beware of asset values that are self-determined or whose value highly dependent on liquidity in the market
(3) Remember in a liquidation 99% of the time you'll get less than carrying value. And if the assets are by nature illiquid, a heck of a lot less.
(4) Just because everyone else is doing it doesn't make it right.
Once these lessons are learned, I'll post more advanced material. I believe I'll start there with the use of umbrellas when it rains. Only sign up if you're ready for a really advanced course.
Oct 28, 2009
Well written article. It is clear that traditional lending and risk management will not work. More effective "risk radars" must be identified to avert such crises.